Published Nov 27, 2021
Game Day Preview: No. 2 Ohio State vs. No. 5 Michigan
Colin Gay  •  DottingTheEyes
Managing Editor
Twitter
@ColinGay_Rivals

The Game is here.

No. 2 Ohio State takes on No. 5 Michigan in Ann Arbor at noon.

Here's what you need to know prior to kickoff.

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Date: Saturday, Nov. 27

Game time: 12 p.m.

Stadium: Michigan Stadium, Ann Arbor, Mich.

TV: FOX

Radio: 97.1 The Fan

Line: Ohio State -7.5

Series: Michigan leads 58-51-6

Streak: Ohio State has an eight-game win streak

Last meeting: Ohio State 56, Michigan State 27 in Ann Arbor, Mich., Nov. 30, 2019

2021 Offensive Statistics
Ohio StateMichigan

47.2

Points/Game

36.9

559.8

Total Offense

447.9

197.5

Rushing Yards/Game

218.4

362.3

Passing Yards/Game

229.5

27.0

First Downs/Game

22.3

8.0

Yards/Play

6.3

0.8

Turnovers/Game

0.7

2021 Defensive Statistics
Ohio StateMichigan 

19.0

Points/Game

16.3

355.6

Total Yards/Game

306.2

103.5

Rushing Yards/Game

127.8

252.1

Passing Yards/Game

178.4

20.7

First Downs/Game

16.4

5.0

Yards/Play

4.7

1.6

Takeaways/Game

1.4

                                             NUMBERS TO KNOW

8 — Consecutive wins Ohio State has recorded against Michigan beginning Nov. 24, 2012

5 — Games in the Buckeyes' win streak in which the offense has scored more than 40 points

1 — Game in the Buckeyes' win streak in which the defense has allowed more than 40 points: Ohio State's 42-41 win in 2013

19 — College football programs in the country to average more than five yards per carry and has scored more than 25 touchdowns, including Michigan (5.09, 29)

2.5 — Yards per rush Ohio State's defense has allowed to opposing backs in the past five games along with three rushing touchdowns

9 — Sacks Michigan's offensive line has allowed in the first 11 games this season, the least in the Big Ten and tied for the fourth least in college football with Air Force

3.27 — Sacks Ohio State's defense averages per game, tied for ninth most in the country with Colorado State, Houston, Syracuse and Troy

18 — Number of field goals Michigan has hit in the red zone this year, good for second-most in the country behind Boise State's 19

92.5 — Percent of red zone tries converted by the Michigan offense this year on 53 tries

83.3 — Percent of red zone tries converted by opposing offenses against Ohio State's defense this season on 30 tries.

362.3 — Passing yards Ohio State averages per game, sixth-most in the country and No. 1 in the Big Ten, averaging 10.01 yards per attempt and 14.33 yards per completion

178.4 — Passing yards Michigan's defense allows per game, eighth-least in the country and second-least in the Big Ten behind Wisconsin, allowing 5.82 yards per attempt and 10.66 yards per completion

54.6 — Percent of pass attempts completed by opposing quarterbacks against Michigan's defense this season

1 — Game in which Ohio State redshirt freshman quarterback C.J. Stroud has completed less than 60% of his passes: his first career start against Minnesota Sept. 2

61 — Yards junior wide receiver Garrett Wilson needs to have 1,000 receiving yards this season

152 — Yards senior wide receiver Chris Olave needs to have 1,000 receiving yards this season

2 — Touchdowns running back TreVeyon Henderson needs to break Ohio State's single-season touchdown record for a freshman, set by Maurice Clarett in 2002

3.66 — Yards per rush Michigan's defense has allowed this season, along with 128.3 rushing yards per game and 10 rushing touchdowns

8 — Wins Ohio State has recorded in Ann Arbor in 10 matchups since 2000

                                         KEYS TO THE GAME

TreVeyon Henderson needs to be involved in the offense

If you look at TreVeyon Henderson's numbers, it seems like Ohio State has been saving him for this game.

After back-to-back 20-carry games against Penn State and Nebraska, the freshman running back has combined for 20 carries in his last two games against Purdue and Michigan State, averaging more than 20 yards per carry in both, while scoring twice against the Boilermakers.

In 11 games, Henderson is averaging 13.5 carries per game — a total he has eclipsed only four times this season — with 7.32 yards per rush, the second-highest in college football behind Wisconsin running back Braelon Allen.

Michigan has allowed only two running backs to record more than 100 yards in a game this season: Michigan State's Kenneth Walker III (197) and Rutgers' Isaih Pacheco (107).

Ohio State's going to need an option if Michigan's pass defense is able to shut down quarterback C.J. Stroud early on, taking away the perimeter passing game, forcing him to throw the ball into tight windows downfield, or showing a rush where Stroud's not able to complete passes at an efficient rate.

If Henderson can step up and continue to average more than seven yards per carry, but with more carries, it should be enough to continue the consistent production the offense has shown in the past few weeks.

Stop Aidan Hutchinson and David Ojabo on the outside

Ohio State's offensive line needs to have one of its best days of the year.

Michigan defensive end Aidan Hutchinson and linebacker David Ojabo have both been nightmares for opposing offensive tackles all season long, combining for 21 tackles for loss and 19.5 sacks, along with five pass breakups, 13 quarterback hurries, seven forced fumbles and one fumble recovery.

Ohio State's tackles — Nicholas Petit-Frere and Dawand Jones — have been special over the past two weeks, allowing no sacks, but even no quarterback hurries against Purdue and Michigan State.

If Stroud is going to be successful and run his offense, he will need to be comfortable in and around the pocket, like he has been over the past two weeks, leading to an over 85% completion rate in the passing game with 11 touchdowns and no interceptions.

If both tackles set the tone for the rest of the line, Stroud's day, and in turn the offense's production, should go without a hitch.

Stop the run, especially in the red zone

Once in the red zone, the Michigan offense has been pretty automatic this season.

The Wolverines have converted on all but four of its chances inside the 20-yard line this season, scoring 31 touchdowns — 22 rushing and nine passing — and 18 field goals, No. 2 in the country in red zone situations behind Boise State.

In comparison, Ohio State's offense has only missed on four red zone attempts this season, scoring touchdowns on 34 of its 50 chances along with 12 field goals.

Inside the 20-yard line, Ohio State will have to be keyed on the Michigan run game, whether its Hassan Haskins, Donovan Edwards or Blake Corum, if healthy: a running game that averages over five yards per touch.

If the Buckeyes keeps the run game at bay and forced field goal tries in the red zone, that should be enough to keep Michigan from answering to Ohio State's No. 1 ranked offense.

SGR Prediction 

This is a very talented Michigan team, with a very good running back room, an efficient quarterback that seems to have found his groove in the past few weeks and a defense that has been able to stifle pretty much all but one offense it has faced.

But if Michigan were to win this game, it would have to play its best football it has all season and against an offense that will be the biggest challenge for a unit that really hasn't been challenged: facing the No. 1 offense in the country after previously playing the No. 18 offense in the country in Nebraska, who Michigan allowed 29 points and 439 yards of offense to.

And while Ohio State's defense has been one to allow big plays, especially in the middle of the field, it's one — with the right combination of pressure and tight coverage — that's been able to stop opposing defenses from keeping up with its historic offense.

As Ohio State tries for its ninth straight win against Michigan — the first meeting between the rivals in more than 700 days — this seems like the Wolverines best shot in awhile. But it still seems like it won't be enough.

No. 2 Ohio State 42, No. 5 Michigan 28

(Photo by SGR)